Thursday, September 11, 2008

calculated risks

shaun marcum is attempting to salvage both my teams' seasons right now. at least in funston's league i have a good chance of finishing second and not falling to third. i figured when marcum made his last start that i needed a top-notch pitcher if i was going to make it back to first place, and that there wasn't some other guy who was going to appear out of nowhere and perform at an elite level. marcum would either save me or fail, but i needed saving.

my h2h league is showing me just how precarious yearlong dominance can be; i knew all along i was building for the long term, shooting for guys who would be there for me in the end. the problem was carlos lee and carlos quentin were lost for the season just before playoffs. i know have a bunch of andre ethiers and shin-soo choos in my outfield, trying to take the studs' places. i had felt so shrewd for so long having dealt bay and bruce for lee; bay had been performing at a carlos lee-like clip, but lee was the sure bet. i figured i was reducing my risk by going with a guy whose performance is documented solid and who has really even splits month to month. you could argue that keeping bruce and bay gave me two guys who could be studs (i traded bruce when his average was still above .400, at the peak of the hype). however, at the time i kinda feel like i had other plans for my roster spots, and that i needed the roster space as much as anything else. i made a real error in judgement, though, when dye was out there with 19 hrs (see why i'm mad about not winning this league) and i decided i didn't need him. i could have dropped pence, who i irrationally loved. i also had a chance at alexei ramirez long after he should have been rostered, and balked at that one. dunno. i guess i can't make every decision perfectly, but i just want to get to that championship game. they don't give out trophies for being the regular season winner.

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